"It has never stopped being under construction."
--Mylène Pardoen, Cathedral of Notre Dame, Paris
|(C) Cathedral of Notre Dame Bureau Bas Smets
- "U.S. Church Membership Falls Below Majority for First Time."--Gallup, 26 March 2021
- "About Three-in-Ten U.S. Adults Are Religiously Unaffiliated."--Pew Research Center, 14 December 2021
- "The Pandemic May Be Ending, but the Church's Fight Is Just Beginning."--Christianity Today, 14 June 2022
- "Losing their religion: Why U.S. churches are on the decline."--The Guardian, 22 January 2023
Much, but not all, of the decline in the past 50 years resulted from a sharp drop in attendance for Catholics after Vatican II. (Roger Finke, Ph.D., Penn State University) While the rise of the "nones," mostly among Millennials and Generation X, has gained attention, little notice has been paid to the other side of the faith spectrum.
A study published in early 2018 shows that "intense religion—strong affiliation, very frequent practice, literalism, and evangelicalism—is persistent, and in fact, only moderate religion is on the decline in the U.S." (Landon Schnabel, Indiana University; Sean Bock, Harvard University)
Vitality is found in nondenominational churches. The 2020 U.S. Religious Census shows that those congregations increased by 4,000 since 2010 and rose by 6.5 million in attendance in that same period. A significant part of that growth comes from the Catholic-to-nondenominational pipeline and retention of children. (Ryan Burge, Ph.D., Eastern Illinois University)
The Atlantic reported in 2021 that Latino evangelicals are the fastest-growing segment of evangelicals in the country. It also said that "Latino Protestants, in particular, have higher levels of religiosity"--with more frequent church attendance, prayer, and Bible study than White Protestants.
A revival at Asbury University in Kentucky, which began in February of this year, is a reminder that studying religion is more prudent than trying to predict its future. "Religious history is shaped as much by sudden irruptions as long trajectories, as much by the mystical and personal as by the institutional and sociological," wrote Ross Douthat in the New York Times.
Ministry is (mostly) analog
Though decreasing church participation pre-dates Covid-19 by at least a generation, there's no question the pandemic is further restructuring relationships with houses of worship.
"Churches waiting for more people to return on Sunday morning are still waiting," wrote Kate Shellnutt in Christianity Today. She added, "While overall reach has expanded, there's a segment of Christians who used to belong to a church community who aren't engaging at all anymore: 12% of formerly regular churchgoers say they're not attending in person or watching online." (Pew Research Center)
So why don't those who resumed their everyday lives attend physically or virtually? It's a follow-up question to consider asking as a matter of concern. Although knowing why people returned--or never left--may hold greater value.
o First, there's a closeness with God not always felt when alone. Forgiveness is a theme and caring for others is a priority as needs are made known.o A belief system offers clear moral guidance creating relationships of accountability to reinforce positive behavior. Some religious communities can provide a social safety net that other institutions can't easily replace.o People who attended weekly religious services or practiced prayer and meditation in their youth reported greater life satisfaction in their twenties. For example, they were less likely to subsequently report depression, substance abuse, and premature sexual activity--than people raised with less regular spiritual habits. They were also more likely to grow up happier, to be forgiving, to have a sense of purpose, and volunteer.
o Multiple mental and physical health benefits correlate with attending church once a week or more, including reducing mortality by 20% to 30% over 15 years. In addition, people who attend at that frequency are significantly less likely to die from "deaths of despair" (suicides, drug overdose, or alcohol poisoning).
o Those who attend services three or more times per month are generous givers. They are more charitable to the church, nonprofits, and secular institutions than those who don't attend or do so less often.
Habits of the heart
While research shows improved personal health correlates with attending church regularly, one's spiritual well-being may be the more critical beneficiary of frequent in-person attendance.
The 19th-century English preacher Charles H. Spurgeon, whose church, London's Park Street Chapel, suffered through the Broad Street cholera outbreak of 1854, reminds us it's not about music, presentation, or architecture.
Instead, Rev. Spurgeon said, "Go where the gospel is preached and go often."
1 National trends don't necessarily imply the same positive or negative trend in a particular location. In addition, nationwide data can differ from specific areas for cultural, demographic, or political reasons. A recent Wall Street Journal/NORC study showing patriotism, religion, and hard work in decline in the U.S. is an example of that phenomenon.
2 Findings were published in the following sources: Journal of American Medical Association, American Journal of Epidemiology, USA Today, Christianity Today, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Lake Institute, Edge Foundation, and The Heritage Foundation.
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